Thursday, September 22, 2022
HomeEconomics2:00PM Water Cooler 9/22/2022 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 9/22/2022 | bare capitalism


By Lambert Strether of Corrente

Chicken Track of the Day

Italian Sparrow, Castello di Riomaggiore, Liguria, Italy. “Gathering in massive tree to roost.” My favourite sparrow sound, certainly one among my favourite sounds.

* * *

Politics

“However what’s authorities itself, however the biggest of all reflections on human nature?” –James Madison, Federalist 51

“Right here’s meals for thought, had Ahab time to suppose; however Ahab by no means thinks; he solely feels, feels, feels” –Herman Melville, Moby Dick

“You’ll be able to’t actually mud for vomit.” Nigel Tufnel, That is Spinal Faucet

Capitol Seizure

“Ginni Thomas, spouse of Supreme Court docket justice, to reply Jan. 6 committee questions – lawyer” [Reuters]. “‘I can affirm that Ginni Thomas has agreed to take part in a voluntary interview with the Committee,’ Mark Paoletta, an lawyer for Thomas, stated in an e-mail, confirming an earlier CNN report. ‘As she has stated from the outset, Mrs. Thomas is raring to reply the Committee’s inquiries to clear up any misconceptions about her work regarding the 2020 election,’ he wrote. A lawyer for Thomas has stated beforehand Thomas had no position within the Jan. 6 assault and by no means mentioned election litigation technique with [Pence advisor John] Eastman.”

Biden Administration

“Biden approves catastrophe declaration for hurricane-ravaged Puerto Rico” [NBC]. “About 41% of all water service clients, or over 520,000, nonetheless didn’t have water entry as of Wednesday morning, based on Puerto Rico’s Water and Sewage Authority. A bigger variety of Puerto Ricans additionally stay with out electrical energy.”

2022

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“Notes on the State of the Primaries: Sept. 21, 2022” [Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball]. “2022 was the primary election cycle since 1998 the place no incumbent Senators or governors who ran for reelection had been denied renomination. Although there was significantly extra turnover on the Home stage, over 96% of members who’re looking for one other time period made it by means of the first part (we’re assuming that every one 6 members of Louisiana’s delegation, who all have secure seats, will in the end prevail).”

AZ: “Kelly main Masters by 12 factors in Arizona Senate race: ballot” [The Hill]. “Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) is main his Republican challenger Blake Masters by a 12-point margin within the race to carry his seat in November, based on a brand new ballot. An Ohio Predictive Insights (OHPI) ballot launched Wednesday discovered that Kelly is backed by 47 % of possible voters, whereas Masters has help from 35 %. Libertarian Marc Victor acquired help from 6 % of these surveyed, whereas 12 % stated they had been undecided.” • I ponder if the DNC is funding the libertarian….

GA: “Opinion | Is Stacey Abrams Actually a Political Star?” [Politico]. “The narrative about her has been that, unbowed and undefeated, she’s preventing a righteous battle in opposition to the voter suppression that denied her her rightful victory the primary time round, and — as a charismatic determine of unbounded expertise — she’s heading for larger and higher issues than slim defeats in state-wide elections. Because it occurs, she could also be headed for a good much less slim defeat in precisely the identical state-wide election. Come November, she might look extra like Beto O’Rourke than Barack Obama. There’s little question that Abrams is a gifted organizer whose voter registration and turn-out efforts helped transfer the needle in Georgia. She additionally has performative potential, and the enthusiastic help of a cadre of loyalists — a class of folks that seemingly consists of everybody who does a profile of her. New York Journal puzzled within the headline of its 2019 profile if she’d run for governor, senator, vice chairman or president — the world was her oyster. Vogue requested, “Can Stacey Abrams save American democracy?” A Washington Put up Journal piece about her famously included an arty, moody image of her staring off into the gap sporting what appeared just like the cape of a superhero.” • Gad. I assume Neera Tanden arrange these tales….

2024

“5 situations that would assist Joe Biden” [The Hill]. “‘Look, my intention as I stated to start with is that I’d run once more,’ Biden stated in an interview with ’60 Minutes’ that aired Sunday. ‘Nevertheless it’s simply an intention. However is it a agency choice that I run once more? That continues to be to be seen.’” • The situations rely on varied ranges of efficiency by Democrats within the midterms.

“Trump vs. DeSantis in 2024? USA TODAY/Suffolk ballot reveals Florida Republicans favor their governor” [USA Today]. “In a hypothetical 2024 presidential major within the Sunshine State, DeSantis leads Trump 48%-40%. That’s a reversal from a ballot of Florida in January, when Trump led DeSantis 47%-40%.”

Democrats en Déshabillé

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Occasion (“the Democrat Occasion is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Occasion is, the truth is, a tough downside. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Occasion is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Occasion didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Occasion reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Occasion (ka-ching, however not solely) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.

Observe, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

Republican Funhouse

“The Energy Latent in a Countercultural Proper” [The Upheaval]. “[T]he youth of right this moment, bombarded 24/7 as they’re with an official ideological Message that’s suffocatingly all-pervasive and repeated with a rhythm as delicate as a jack-hammer, and discovering themselves misplaced with an unfulfilled human craving for normality and fact in a society saturated with thermobaric ranges of gaslighting, simply would possibly do the pure factor and insurgent. And in the event that they do, they’re prone to insurgent in the one path they now can: by changing into extra traditionalist and conservative. Far out, I do know!” • This argument periodically pops up. Hasn’t occurred but. Perhaps if the Republicans may broaden their concept of what’s conventional to incorporate unions? They appear fairly widespread amongst younger of us lately.

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Wounded Metropolis” [Philadelphia Inquirer]. “To seize only a glimpse of the summer time’s epidemic and doc its unrelenting toll, Inquirer journalists in early August visited the scene of each taking pictures throughout a single weekend in almost real-time. Within the weeks that adopted, they attended funerals, spoke with survivors as they sought to heal, visited with neighbors afraid to depart their properties, and tried to grasp why the shootings occurred. Their reporting presents a microcosm of the violence many Philadelphians endure each single day, and what’s driving it: individuals utilizing weapons to resolve trivial disagreements; just one in 4 shootings leading to costs; unsolved shootings festering and resulting in threats of retaliation; neighborhood teams beefing over social media; and untold grieving households and taking pictures survivors going through searing trauma within the aftermath. And but that weekend’s gun violence was cruelly common.” And: “‘In a majority of shootings, individuals know who did it,’ Capt. John Walker, head of the Police Division’s nonfatal taking pictures unit, would later clarify. ‘They will permit themselves to digest it a bit first, after which determine what means they’re going to go: are they going to let legislation enforcement deal with it, the streets deal with it, or deal with it themselves?’ More and more, individuals go for the latter two. Whereas the Police Division doesn’t compile knowledge on the motives behind nonfatal shootings, almost 20% of homicides final 12 months had been retaliatory, decided to be motivated by revenge in opposition to somebody for a previous assault or insult, or an assault in opposition to a rival group over a perceived beef. This motive noticed a 145% soar over the 12 months earlier than, based on police statistics.” • Heading towards Cormac McCarthy territory. Very unhappy, as a result of Philly is a superb metropolis.

“Suspect free after admitting he mowed down ‘Republican’ teen over politics” [New York Post]. “‘Brandt admitted to placing the pedestrian together with his automobile as a result of he had a political argument with the pedestrian and believed the pedestrian was calling individuals to come back get him,’ the courtroom doc continues. “Brandt admitted to leaving the scene of the incident and returning shortly after the place he referred to as 911.’” • North Dakota.

#COVID19

• “‘Can’t work at a desk’: What it’s prefer to be out of labor with Lengthy COVID” [Yahoo News]. • Useful map:

Yikes.

• ”Pulmonary Dysfunction after Pediatric COVID-19″ [Radiology]. n=54. “Between August and December 2021, a cross-sectional, potential scientific trial utilizing low-field MRI was carried out in kids and adolescents from a single educational medical heart. The first end result was the frequency of morphologic modifications on MRI. Secondary outcomes included MRI-derived useful proton air flow and perfusion parameters…. Low-field MRI confirmed persistent pulmonary dysfunction in each kids and adolescents recovered from COVID-19 and with lengthy COVID.”

* * *

• Maskstravganza: Particular hat tip to Joe Biden for destroying the home masks business:

• Maskstravaganza: Educating alternative:


* * *

• One other instructing alternative:

• “Effectiveness of HEPA Filters at Eradicating Infectious SARS-CoV-2 from the Air” [American Society for Epidemiology]. “Air filtration simulation experiments quantitatively confirmed that an air cleaner geared up with a HEPA filter can constantly take away SARS-CoV-2 from the air. The seize ratios for SARS-CoV-2 within the air when the air cleaner was geared up with an antiviral-agent-coated HEPA filter had been corresponding to these with the traditional HEPA filter, and there was little impact on SARS-CoV-2 within the air that handed by means of the antiviral-reagent-coated HEPA filter.” • A number of pushback on the thread for this research from Hospital An infection Management neighborhood, who’re insisting on an RCT, the counter-argument being that that is engineering, the legal guidelines of physics, therefore no RCTs are required. We don’t check parachutes the place half the themes get placebos, can we?

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Case Depend

Case depend for america:

Instances are undercounted, one supply saying by an element of six, Gottlieb pondering we solely choose up one in seven or eight.) Therefore, I take the nominal case depend and multiply it by six to approximate the actual stage of circumstances, and draw the DNC-blue “Biden Line” at that time. The earlier depend was ~60,500. In the present day, it’s ~59,200 and 59,200 * 6 = a Biden line at 355,200. (Bear in mind these knowledge factors are weekly averages, so every day fluctuations are smoothed out.) The black “Fauci Line” is a counter to triumphalism, because it compares present ranges to previous crises. For those who take a look at the Fauci line, you will note that regardless of the bleating and yammering about Covid being “over,” now we have solely only in the near past reached the (nominal) case stage of November 1, 2021, and we’re very removed from that of July 1, 2021. And the actual stage is far worse.

Lambert right here: The autumn in case depend seems spectacular sufficient. What the Fauci Line reveals, nonetheless, is that now we have finally achieved the extent of the preliminary peak, when New York was storing the our bodies in fridge vans. So the endzone celebrations are, to my thoughts, untimely. Not that anybody will throw a flag. In fact, the actual story is within the charts for California and the South. See beneath.

Regional case depend for 4 weeks:

The South:

The South (minus Texas and Florida):

I ought to most likely give the South (minus Texas and Florida) a shoutout for the regular lower. Encouraging!

The West:

California on a excessive plateau all of its personal. A sudden soar, after which no doubling conduct? What’s up with that?

Wastewater

Wastewater knowledge (CDC), September 18:

Lambert right here: I added all of the dots again in. The variety of gray dots actually considerations me. How can all of the websites for worldwide air journey heart New York be gray (“no current knowledge”). And California’s fairly gappy, too.

For grins, September 13:

NOTE Lastly received the web page to load. I needed to flip off my VPN. Thanks for the safety breach, CDC.

Positivity

From the Walgreen’s check positivity tracker, September 22:

-2.2%. Excellent news!

Transmission

NOTE: I shall most definitely not be utilizing the CDC’s new “Neighborhood Stage” metric. As a result of CDC has mixed a number one indicator (circumstances) with a lagging one (hospitalization) their new metric is a poor warning signal of a surge, and a poor method to assess private threat. As well as, Covid is a illness you don’t need to get. Even in case you are not hospitalized, you’ll be able to endure from Lengthy Covid, vascular points, and neurological points. For these causes, case counts — recognized to be underestimated, as a result of house check kits — deserve to face alone as a quantity to be tracked, irrespective of how a lot the political operatives in CDC management want to obfuscate it. That the “inexperienced map” (which Topol calls a “capitulation” and a “deception”) remains to be up and being taken critically verges on the prison. Use the neighborhood transmission instantly beneath.

Right here is CDC’s interactive map by county set to neighborhood transmission. (That is the map CDC needs solely hospitals to have a look at, not you.)

NOT UPDATED Fast Riser knowledge, by county (CDC), September 20:

I suppose that if case counts are certainly stage, it’s possible there can be few speedy risers.

Earlier Fast Riser knowledge:

NOT UPDATED Hospitalization knowledge, by state (CDC), September 20:

If I had been fooled by CDC’s “Neighborhood Ranges” okey-dokey, I’d be fairly glad proper now.

NOTE: Fast Riser and Hospitalization knowledge are up to date Wednesdays and Fridays.

Variants

Lambert right here: It’s past irritating how gradual the variant knowledge is. I appeared for extra charts: California doesn’t to a BA.4/BA.5 breakdown. New York does but it surely, too, is on a molasses-like two-week cycle. Does no one within the public well being institution get a promotion for monitoring variants? Are there no grants? Is there a single lab that does this work, and everyone will get the outcomes from them? Further sources from readers welcome [grinds teeth, bangs head on desk].

NOT UPDATED Variant knowledge, nationwide (Walgreens), September 10:

Nonetheless no signal of BA.2.75 at Walgreens, regardless of its look in CDC knowledge beneath.

NOT UPDATED Variant knowledge, nationwide (CDC), August 27 (Nowcast off):

Two highlights: BA.4.6 has assumed a barely larger proportion (extra within the NowCast mannequin, which I refuse to make use of). Additionally, first look of BA.2.75. So the place is it, you ask?

The above chart reveals variants nationally. I’ve gone by means of the CDC areas and made a desk. As you’ll be able to see, BA.2.75 is outstanding in Area 2 (New York and New Jersey), adopted by Area 5 (Midwest), and Area 1 (Northeast). Hmm.

Desk 1: CDC Regional BA.2.75 Knowledge, Sorted by % Whole

CDC Area % Whole States in Area
Area 2: 0.8% New Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands
Area 5: 0.7% Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin
Area 1: 0.7% Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont
Area 3: 0.4% Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia
Area 4: 0.4% Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee
Area 7: 0.3% lowa, Kansas, Missouri, and Nebraska
Area 6: 0.0% Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas
Area 8: 0.0% Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming
Area 9: 0.0% Arizona, California, Hawaii, Nevada, American Samoa, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands….
Area 10: 0.0% Alaska, Idaho, Oregon, and Washington

Let’s see if BA.2.75 begins doubling.

Deaths

Dying fee (Our World in Knowledge):

Lambert right here: Undecided why World in Knowledge modified the colour to pink.

Whole: 1,080,356 – 1,079,206 = 1150 (1150 * 365 = 419,750, which is right this moment’s LivingWith™* quantity (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would love, although they’ll discuss themselves into something. Fluctuates fairly a bit, however even the low numbers are unhealthy). I’ve added an anti-triumphalist black Fauci Line.

It’s good that for deaths I’ve a easy, every day chart that simply retains chugging alongside, not like the whole lot else CDC and the White Home are screwing up or letting go darkish, good job.

Stats Watch

Employment Scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “The variety of People submitting new claims for unemployment advantages rose by 5 thousand to 213,000 within the week that ended September seventeenth, beneath market expectations of 218,000. It marked a slight improve from the earlier week’s downwardly revised worth, which was the bottom since Might, nonetheless pointing to a decent labor market.”

Manufacturing: “United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Kansas Metropolis Fed’s Manufacturing Manufacturing Index recovered to 2 in September 2022 from -9 within the prior month. Nonetheless, manufacturing unit progress remained downbeat, led by decreased exercise at sturdy items crops, primarily electrical, furnishings, nonmetallic mineral, major metallic, fabricated metallic, and transportation gear manufacturing.”

* * *

Commodities: “A Nice Copper Squeeze Is Coming for the World Financial system” [Bloomberg]. “The value of copper — utilized in the whole lot from pc chips and toasters to energy techniques and air conditioners — has fallen by almost a 3rd since March. Traders are promoting on fears {that a} international recession will stunt demand for a metallic that’s synonymous with progress and growth. You wouldn’t comprehend it from wanting on the market right this moment, however a few of the largest miners and metals merchants are warning that in simply a few years’ time, a large shortfall will emerge for the world’s most crucial metallic — one that would itself maintain again international progress, stoke inflation by elevating manufacturing prices and throw international local weather objectives off track. The current downturn and the under-investment that ensues solely threatens to make it worse…. Inventories tracked by buying and selling exchanges are close to historic lows. And the newest worth volatility implies that new mine output — already projected to start out really fizzling out in 2024 — may develop into even tighter within the close to future.”

The Bezzle: “Google co-founder’s flying automobile startup is winding down” [CNBC]. • We had been speculated to have flying vehicles by now. What’s up with that?

The Bezzle: “Meta Sued for Skirting Apple Privateness Guidelines to Listen in on Customers” [Bloomberg]. “Meta Platforms Inc. was sued for allegedly constructing a secret work-around to safeguards that Apple Inc. launched final 12 months to guard iPhone customers from having their web exercise tracked. In a proposed class-action criticism filed Wednesday in San Francisco federal courtroom, two Fb customers accused the corporate of skirting Apple’s 2021 privateness guidelines and violating state and federal legal guidelines limiting the unauthorized assortment of non-public knowledge. The same criticism was filed in the identical courtroom final week. The fits are based mostly on a report by knowledge privateness researcher Felix Krause, who stated that Meta’s Fb and Instagram apps for Apple’s iOS inject JavaScript code onto web sites visited by customers. Krause stated the code allowed the apps to trace ‘something you do on any web site,’ together with typing passwords.” • These crooks simply can’t assist themselves, can they?

Tech: “iPhone 14 iFixit teardown reveals Apple’s studying on repairs” [The Register]. The deck: “Or was compelled right into a rethink by laws.”The iPhone 14 harbors a secret that’s a reasonably large deal: The internals have been redesigned to make it extra repairable, says iFixit. Gone is an extreme use of glue and solder, iFixit CEO Kyle Wiens stated in his iPhone 14 teardown report. As a substitute, Wiens stated, the iPhone 14 incorporates a butterfly-style design with a pop-off display and again plate that may be eliminated with nothing however a single pair of screws, as you’ll be able to see beneath. Wiens stated the iPhone 14’s design is a ‘dramatic rethinking’ of Apple’s flagship machine that indicators right-to-repair advocates have gained yet one more victory in opposition to Apple, a long-standing opponent of the self-repair motion. However the legislative tide is popping and Apple sees which means the wind is blowing.” • See NC on proper to restore right here.

Tech: “Google loses EU enchantment and is fined a report $4 billion” [Axios]. “Google suffered a major loss Wednesday when a European courtroom denied its enchantment of an antitrust choice and issued a superb of 4.1 billion euro ($4.13 billion), a report penalty. Google had challenged an earlier EU ruling that stated it used its Android cell working system to stymie rivals, however Europe’s second-highest courtroom upheld it. The hefty superb and ruling is a win for prime EU antitrust official Margrethe Vestager, who has aggressively prosecuted Huge Tech firms, and will set a precedent for future European antitrust rulings masking tech giants.” • Why the small superb?

The Financial system: “Christian Stitching’s keynote on the Handelsblatt Banken Summit 2022” [Deutsche Bank]. Stitching is CEO of Deutsche.

I’m delighted to be with you right this moment at a time that is tougher than something I’ve skilled in additional than 30 years of banking. Whereas the Covid pandemic proved to be a brief shock to the world economic system, Russia’s struggle in opposition to Ukraine has destroyed a lot of certainties on which we constructed our financial system over the previous a long time.

– The brakes have been utilized to globalisation and, within the face of main geopolitical tensions, it’s unlikely to select up its previous momentum any time quickly.

– In consequence, many seemingly excellent international worth and provide chains have been disrupted.

– The workforce, which for a very long time was regarded as out there with out restrict, has develop into a bottleneck issue worldwide.

– On the similar time, electrical energy and gasoline have develop into scarce and intensely costly. Vitality is ready to remain an costly commodity in Europe for a while. This represents a structural aggressive downside and it’s a menace to our economic system. In the long run, we might want to reply with structural options.

– These factors are an important causes for hovering inflation. In consequence, we are going to not be capable to avert a recession in Germany.

And:

[W]e have been underneath the phantasm for the previous 30 years that we may reside without end in an ever extra globalised world with no main conflicts and with regular progress. Francis Fukuyama has usually been criticised for equating the top of the Chilly Conflict with the “finish of historical past”. However de facto we acted as if this thesis was appropriate; now we have been appearing as if the world was on its method to changing into one large village the place everyone seems to be curious about financial cooperation as a result of, in spite of everything, everybody advantages from it. That has stopped being the case for a while now, although.

In fact, this is Deutsche. Nonetheless, fascinating studying.

* * *

In the present day’s Concern & Greed Index: 29 Concern (earlier shut: 30 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 40 (Concern). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 22 at 1:11 PM EDT.

The Gallery

Summer season enjoyable:

Seashore enjoyable:

Sure, the title says nothing concerning the seaside, however everyone’s a comic, so….

Zeitgeist Watch

“Fb Confirmed to Negatively Affect Psychological Well being” (press launch) [Tel Aviv University]. “The research was based mostly on knowledge that dates again to the 2004 creation of Fb at Harvard College, earlier than it took the web by storm. Fb was initially accessible solely to Harvard college students who had a Harvard e-mail handle. Rapidly spreading to different faculties in and outdoors the US, the community was made out there to most people within the US and past in September 2006. The researchers had been capable of analyze the impression of social media use by evaluating faculties that had entry to the platform to schools that didn’t. The findings present an increase within the variety of college students reporting extreme despair and nervousness (7% and 20% respectively). …. The research mixed data from two completely different datasets: the precise dates on which Fb was launched at 775 American faculties, and the Nationwide Faculty Well being Evaluation (NCHA), a survey carried out periodically at American faculties…. the methodology additionally thought-about any variations in psychological well being over time or throughout faculties that weren’t associated to Fb. This strategy enabled circumstances just like these of a ‘pure experiment,’ which might be unimaginable right this moment now that billions of individuals around the globe use many alternative social networks.”

“How Gaslighting Manipulates Actuality” [Scientfic American]. “Our job as sociologists is to comply with the elusive, topsy-turvy methods by which social domination operates. We should comply with what sociologist Avery Gordon calls the “spells of energy” and the best way patterns of noncredibility are established. By taking gaslighting critically, we are able to study concerning the relation between macro-level inequalities and the “micro” types of silencing and disempowerment that individuals expertise of their on a regular basis lives.” And: “After conducting 122 interviews over six months and analyzing the patterns that make up this type of abuse, I grew to become most intrigued by the social contexts the place we discover gaslighting, and its relation to inequalities round gender, sexuality, class, potential and race. Unsurprisingly, gaslighting doesn’t contain simply one among these axes of identification—relatively individuals expertise gaslighting intersectionally [of course!], which means that components similar to age, race, gender and sexuality all matter for the best way individuals’s realities are distorted, questioned or denied. Based mostly on my pattern, there seem like 4 central relationships or contexts by which gaslighting sometimes happens: home violence; intimate companions who should not in any other case abusive; dad and mom and different relations; and institutional gaslighting, primarily within the office.” • In my opinion, the time period “gaslighting” was invented within the blogosphere in 2003 – 2006, and utilized to Iraq WMDs and Bush Administration propaganda typically*; I bear in mind discovering the film poster for the 1944 movie and placing it in my weblog. Nothing to do with “intersectionality” in any respect; easy indictment of an more and more sick political state of affairs. However grifters gotta grift. NOTE * Presumably to DHS Secretary Tom Ridge’s ludicrous color-coded system of terror alerts; it’s been a very long time, and there’s been lots of hyperlink rot.

Groves of Academe

“Quantifying hierarchy and dynamics in US school hiring and retention” [Nature]. “Status performs a central position in structuring the US professoriate. Analyses of college hiring networks, which map who hires whose graduates as school, present unambiguously in a number of fields that prestigious departments provide an outsized proportion of college, no matter whether or not status is measured by an extrinsic rating or popularity scheme or derived from the construction of the school hiring community itself. Prestigious departments additionally exhibit ‘social closure’ by excluding those that lack status, facilitated by comparatively secure hierarchies over time, each empirically and in mathematical fashions of self-reinforcing community dynamics.”

Class Warfare

“House Depot staff petition to type 1st store-wide union” [ABC]. “House Depot staff in Philadelphia have filed a petition with the federal labor board to type what might be the primary store-wide union on the world’s largest house enchancment retailer. The petition, filed with the Nationwide Labor Relations Board this week, seeks to type a collective bargaining unit for 274 workers who work in merchandising, specialty and operations. The federal company’s database reveals no different makes an attempt to type a store-wide union on the firm, although a gaggle of House Depot drivers efficiently unionized with the Worldwide Brotherhood of Teamsters in 2019.” • Not all of the information from Philly is unhealthy.

“Airline’s Pitch to Aspiring Pilots: Fly Our Planes Now, Work for Us Later” [Wall Street Journal]. “Regional airline firm Mesa Air Group Inc. MESA -0.78%▼ is providing a brand new means for pilots who’ve gone by means of preliminary coaching to construct up the lots of of further flying hours they should qualify for airline jobs. The airline, which flies for United Airways Holdings Inc., American Airways Group Inc. and cargo service DHL Categorical, stated Thursday that it acquired 29 small two-seat planes with choices to purchase as many as 75 extra over the following 12 months. It plans to increase pilots interest-free loans to fly these planes round till they’ve accrued the hours they should work at Mesa. ‘I actually imagine this may crack open the nut by way of all these pilots on the market attempting to construct time,’ Jonathan Ornstein, Mesa’s chief government, stated in an interview.” • Extra debt? Actually? Why not simply give the hours away?

Information of the Wired

Haiti, forward of the curve, as ordinary (guurst):


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Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are superb! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From PH:

PH writers: “To proceed with the sunflower theme, it is a pic I took just a few years in the past in my backyard on the crest of the Cascade Vary in South Central Washington. There’s one among my honeybees and a few native bees. A pleasant Fibonacci lure to attract them in.”

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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So in the event you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get nervous. Extra tangibly, a continuing trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I think about that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:

Right here is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

For those who hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will provide you with instructions on the way to ship a examine. Thanks!

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